The Grand Canyon state of Arizona is shaping up to be a likely US Senate pick up for the GOP in 2024.
On Tuesday popular MAGA Republican Kari Lake filed paperwork to run for Sen. Kyrsten Sinema’s (I) seat in Arizona.
Lake, who previously ran for Arizona governor, registered her Senate campaign committee with the Federal Elections Commission a week ahead of her expected campaign launch.
Lake, a close ally of former President Donald Trump, is expected to officially announce her run at a rally on October 10, a source familiar with the plans previously told CNN.
She met with several GOP senators on Tuesday, a source familiar said, including Sens. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, John Cornyn of Texas and Ron Johnson of Wisconsin.
This announcement lays out the groundwork for a potential three-way race in a critical swing state.
The filing follows Lakes’ video pointing to a Senate run, telling Arizona to “stay tuned” and publicized a rally where she will make a “HUGE announcement” next Tuesday.
We are just 6 days away from @KariLake's SPECIAL announcement at Jetset Magazine in Scottsdale, AZ!
— Kari Lake (@KariLake) October 4, 2023
Lake is the immediate front-runner if she jumps into the race and will be “the 800-pound gorilla” in the Republican primary, GOP political consultant Kirk Adams told Axios Phoenix in August.
A survey from BluePrint Polling, which works with the Democratic Party, found that Trump-endorsed Lake would come out on top in a hypothetical 2024 Arizona Senate Race (35.7 percent), followed by Representative Gallego at 31.9 percent, and Sinema a distant third at 13.8 percent.
A JL Partners Arizona Primary poll conducted from April 10 to April 12 showed that Lake with a 28-point lead over former Primary competitor Karrin Taylor Robson in the US Senate poll. Lake has a 32-point lead over Sheriff Mark Lamb in a head-to-head matchup for Senate.
The well known former news anchor “lost” to now-Gov. Katie Hobbs (D) last year.
The somewhat surprising outcome has drawn attention as Lake is a Trump-endorsed candidate and the party’s most prominent election denier running for office. She has not accepted the results of the 2022 gubernatorial election.
Throwing uncertainty into the race is Kristen Sinema’s plans.
Senator Kyrsten Sinema switched her party affiliation from Democratic to independent in December, and progressive Rep. Ruben Gallego entered the Democratic primary in January.
Sinema is reportedly gearing up for a reelection bid, though she has not formally announced a campaign.
If Sinema does run it’s unclear whether she could win re-election and if not, who would she take the most votes away from votes from the Republicans or Democrats.